Many of the 2004 wines still have not been finished, and many, especially those that might age well, will not be available for delivery for a few years. You will be able to purchase futures on some within a few months. You will need to read the early reviews of several critics to get guesses about how some of the 2004s will turn out before you spend a lot of money on futures. Even the most experienced critics can have only an educated guess before all of the grapes are picked, fermentation is completed, and the wines are in barrel. Even then the wines are extremely difficult to evaluate early on in the barrel. After the wines have been aged in wood, which may be 2 years or more for some top reds, and the various batches blended, then evaluation is much more meaningful. It would be much safer to wait a few years before buying any
2004s. Most will still be available in a few years. The price may be a little higher than the price for futures, but you are at least much more likely not to make an expensive mistake.
In good years from good producers, certain wines are much more likely to age well on the average. Many of the top Bordeaux reds from top years can last 25, 50, or more years. Chateau Latour often ages very slowly. Vintage port, which is not available every year, also often last well for 25, 50 or more years. Vintage Madeira also usually is a very long lasting wine, but it often is not available until 20 or more years after the vintage. Top years of the Sauternes Chateau d'Yquem have lasted well for 25,50, and many more years. The legendary Tokaji Essencia can still be rather youthful at over 100 years. Even many of the less rich Tokaji wines easily can last 25, 50, or more years. A few of the top Brunellos and Barolos from Italy can last a very long time if you get the right year from a top producer who makes the wine in the traditional style for long aging. There are several other wines that can age very well. I just selected a few examples from different regions.
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